INVESTIGATING A GREEN ECONOMY TRANSITION OF THE ELECTRICITY SECTOR IN THE WESTERN CAPE PROVINCE OF SOUTH AFRICA: A SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH

Juan Oosthuizen, Alan Colin Brent, Josephine Kaviti Musango, imke H de Kock

Abstract


The Western Cape Government in South Africa has identified the concept of a green economy as a way to transform the Province’s economy to one that is more sustainable from an economic, social, and environmental perspective. System dynamics modelling was used to develop a better understanding of the implications of different green economy policies and investments in the electricity sector of the Western Cape Province. The results suggest that continuing on the current policy path would increase the gap between demand and supply, increase the carbon footprint of the electricity sector, and not provide growth in employment in the sector. Strategic green economy investments are therefore expected to impact positively on a number of indicators across a number of sectors. 


Keywords


sustainable development; green economy; Western Cape Province; South Africa; system dynamics

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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.7166/27-4-1522

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Copyright (c) 2016 Juan Oosthuizen, Alan Colin Brent, Josephine Kaviti Musango, imke H de Kock


ISSN 2224-7890 (on-line) ; ISSN 1012-277X (print)


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